MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Lucas Erceg
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Lucas Erceg
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Lucas Erceg
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Lucas Erceg
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Lucas Erceg
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Lucas Erceg
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
27.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Lucas Erceg
27.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.26
now 1.08
1.23
Lucas Erceg
.9002.26
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4051.60
now 42
34
Lucas Erceg
4051.60
now 18
22
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Lucas Erceg
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
1.4026.60
now 20
1121
Lucas Erceg
1.4026.60
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
Tweet