Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryCade
49K →66
3.67ERA →3.60
1.24WHIP →1.22
1–2W →2–5
19–36SV →23–43
Current Season
BryanCategoryCade
29K →42
2.22ERA ←2.60
1.07WHIP ←1.08
1W →2
16SV →20
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.83 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Bryan Baker: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).