Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryDavid
47K →50
3.67ERA3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W1–2
18–34SV ←13–25
Current Season
BryanCategoryDavid
29K29
2.22ERA ←4.50
1.07WHIP ←1.58
1W1
16SV ←12
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.84 is 0.71 above the ERA — regression coming
David Bednar
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.352 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Bryan Baker: 47 K / 3.67 ERA. David Bednar: 50 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).