MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Baker
Bryan Baker
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Bryan Baker wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Baker
97.0
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
15.3%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
27.7%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Baker
35.8%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Baker
32.7%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Baker
6.1%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Baker
.255
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Baker
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.22
3.66
Louis Varland
25.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Baker
.9501.32
now 1.07
1.24
Louis Varland
.9501.32
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Baker
4050.40
now 29
21
Louis Varland
4050.40
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Bryan Baker
.0002.80
now 1
01
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Baker
.00020.80
now 16
815
Louis Varland
.00020.80
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBryan Baker — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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