Who's more valuable, rest of season
Devin Williams.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
◀
SV
Devin Williams wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Louis Varland wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.5%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
30.0%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.7%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
30.1%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
5.4%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.282
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
27.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Louis Varland
27.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
.9001.76
now 1.55
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.76
now 1.03
1.08
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4050
now 31
30
Louis Varland
4050
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
.0005.20
now 3
2–4
Louis Varland
.0005.20
now 2
1–2
Saveshigher is better
Devin Williams
211
now 8
5–9
Louis Varland
211
now 8
4–7
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92