Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryPaul
49K ←42
3.67ERA3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W1–2
19–36SV ←19–34
Current Season
BryanCategoryPaul
29K ←24
2.22ERA ←3.63
1.07WHIP →0.72
1W1
16SV ←15
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.83 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Sewald
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.76)
Bryan Baker: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Paul Sewald: 42 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).