Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aroldis Chapman.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Bryan Baker’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV
Aroldis Chapman wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Bryan Baker wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
97.0
Bryan Baker
96.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Bryan Baker
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
32.3%
Bryan Baker
27.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
32.6%
Bryan Baker
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.3%
Bryan Baker
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
7.0%
Bryan Baker
7.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.255
Bryan Baker
.273
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
2.68
Bryan Baker
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.22
3.08
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Bryan Baker
.9001.39
now 1.07
1.23
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4038.20
now 25
7
Bryan Baker
4038.20
now 29
6
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Bryan Baker
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.00021.60
now 12
2–4
Bryan Baker
.00021.60
now 16
2–4
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAroldis Chapman — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighBryan Baker — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95