MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Josh Hader
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (K); Josh Hader wins 1 (SV); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Josh Hader
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.3%
Josh Hader
20.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
29.9%
Josh Hader
39.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
34.4%
Josh Hader
42.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
35.9%
Josh Hader
22.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
7.7%
Josh Hader
2.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.263
Josh Hader
.189
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
Josh Hader
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Josh Hader
.9001.39
now 1.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4041.60
now 25
30
Josh Hader
4041.60
now 1
16
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.000.480
now 0
00
Josh Hader
.000.480
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.00038.80
now 12
816
Josh Hader
.00038.80
now 1
628
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJosh Hader — hold.conf 0.50
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