MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 2 categories (WHIP, SV); Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (ERA); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
97.0
Cade Smith
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Cade Smith
16.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
32.3%
Cade Smith
35.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
32.6%
Cade Smith
32.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.3%
Cade Smith
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
7.0%
Cade Smith
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.255
Cade Smith
.270
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
24.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
2.68
Cade Smith
24.02
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.01
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Cade Smith
.9001.39
now 1.08
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4056
now 25
7
Cade Smith
4056
now 42
7
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0002.80
now 0
00
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
00
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.00027.20
now 12
24
Cade Smith
.00027.20
now 20
25
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAroldis Chapman — buy.conf 0.92
BuyCade Smith — buy.conf 0.92
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