MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Aroldis Chapman wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
30.6%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
35.0%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.4%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
8.2%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.256
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
24.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
Cade Smith
24.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Cade Smith
.9001.39
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4048.80
now 25
31
Cade Smith
4048.80
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0002.80
now 0
00
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4.2025.80
now 12
917
Cade Smith
4.2025.80
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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