MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (K); Jhoan Duran wins 1 (W); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Jhoan Duran
100.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Jhoan Duran
20.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
30.6%
Jhoan Duran
39.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
35.0%
Jhoan Duran
35.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.4%
Jhoan Duran
46.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
8.2%
Jhoan Duran
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.256
Jhoan Duran
.229
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
24.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
Jhoan Duran
24.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Jhoan Duran
.9001.39
now 0.96
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4036.60
now 25
31
Jhoan Duran
4036.60
now 26
25
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0002.80
now 0
00
Jhoan Duran
.0002.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
5.8020.20
now 12
917
Jhoan Duran
5.8020.20
now 12
917
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJhoan Duran — hold.conf 0.50
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