Rest of Season Projection
AroldisCategoryJhoan
55K ←45
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
17–31SV →17–32
Current Season
AroldisCategoryJhoan
25K →26
0.48ERA ←1.53
0.86WHIP ←0.96
0W →1
12SV12
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aroldis Chapman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.231 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.94 is 2.46 above the ERA — regression coming
Jhoan Duran
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.34)
Chapman and Duran share identical 3.70 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, but Chapman projects 55 K to Duran's 45 — the strikeout edge is the difference between a sell-high and hold.