MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aroldis Chapman wins 2 (K, SV); David Bednar wins 2 (ERA, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
David Bednar
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.1%
David Bednar
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
29.5%
David Bednar
27.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
34.1%
David Bednar
39.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
36.8%
David Bednar
37.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
7.9%
David Bednar
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.259
David Bednar
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
26.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
David Bednar
26.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.87
now 0.86
1.24
David Bednar
.9001.87
now 1.58
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4036.60
now 25
31
David Bednar
4036.60
now 29
26
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0001.48
now 0
00
David Bednar
.0001.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
3.4019.60
now 12
916
David Bednar
3.4019.60
now 12
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
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