MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

David Bednar wins 1 (ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.1
Kevin Kelly
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.4%
Kevin Kelly
11.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
27.1%
Kevin Kelly
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
38.4%
Kevin Kelly
34.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
35.7%
Kevin Kelly
44.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
4.9%
Kevin Kelly
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.263
Kevin Kelly
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
25.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
2.87
Kevin Kelly
25.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.37
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9001.89
now 1.58
1.19
Kevin Kelly
.9001.89
now 0.81
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4040.60
now 29
0
Kevin Kelly
4040.60
now 19
0
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0004.20
now 1
0–0
Kevin Kelly
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDavid Bednar — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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