MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Juan Morillo wins 2 (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Juan Morillo
98.7
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
14.7%
Kevin Kelly
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
28.3%
Kevin Kelly
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
35.6%
Kevin Kelly
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Juan Morillo
31.7%
Kevin Kelly
45.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Juan Morillo
3.4%
Kevin Kelly
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Juan Morillo
.245
Kevin Kelly
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Juan Morillo
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
2.47
Kevin Kelly
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Juan Morillo
.9001.43
now 1.08
1.25
Kevin Kelly
.9001.43
now 0.81
1.13

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Juan Morillo
4040.80
now 30
6
Kevin Kelly
4040.80
now 19
3
Winshigher is better
Juan Morillo
.0004.20
now 1
00
Kevin Kelly
.0004.20
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJuan Morillo — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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