MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Juan Morillo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Juan Morillo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Juan Morillo
98.7
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
15.6%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
29.0%
Kevin Kelly
19.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Juan Morillo
34.1%
Kevin Kelly
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Juan Morillo
31.4%
Kevin Kelly
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Juan Morillo
3.9%
Kevin Kelly
6.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Juan Morillo
.239
Kevin Kelly
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Juan Morillo
2.194.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.65
Kevin Kelly
2.194.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Juan Morillo
.9001.41
now 1.08
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9001.41
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Juan Morillo
4036.40
now 30
21
Kevin Kelly
4036.40
now 19
14
Winshigher is better
Juan Morillo
.0004.20
now 1
01
Kevin Kelly
.0004.20
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Juan Morillo
.0004.40
now 1
11
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJuan Morillo — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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