MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Bednar wins 1 (WHIP); Juan Morillo wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.1
Juan Morillo
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.4%
Juan Morillo
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
27.1%
Juan Morillo
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
38.4%
Juan Morillo
36.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
35.7%
Juan Morillo
31.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
4.9%
Juan Morillo
3.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.263
Juan Morillo
.243
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
25.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
2.87
Juan Morillo
25.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
2.45
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9001.78
now 1.58
1.19
Juan Morillo
.9001.78
now 1.08
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4042
now 29
0
Juan Morillo
4042
now 30
0
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Juan Morillo
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDavid Bednar — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
BuyJuan Morillo — buy.conf 0.92
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