MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Jeff Hoffman
Jeff Hoffman
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jeff Hoffman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. David Bednar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jeff Hoffman wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); David Bednar wins 1 (SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.1
Jeff Hoffman
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.1%
Jeff Hoffman
18.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
26.9%
Jeff Hoffman
33.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.4%
Jeff Hoffman
37.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
37.6%
Jeff Hoffman
32.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
3.4%
Jeff Hoffman
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.258
Jeff Hoffman
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
2.197.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
Jeff Hoffman
2.197.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.31
3.37
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9901.97
now 1.58
1.24
Jeff Hoffman
.9901.97
now 1.75
1.21

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4053.80
now 29
23
Jeff Hoffman
4053.80
now 45
28
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0005.60
now 1
01
Jeff Hoffman
.0005.60
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
.00016
now 12
612
Jeff Hoffman
.00016
now 5
25
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJeff Hoffman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.88
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