MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Bednar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Bednar wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.0
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
15.8%
Lucas Erceg
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
27.3%
Lucas Erceg
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.8%
Lucas Erceg
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
37.7%
Lucas Erceg
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
3.8%
Lucas Erceg
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.262
Lucas Erceg
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
2.617.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
Lucas Erceg
2.617.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9702.19
now 1.58
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9702.19
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4034.60
now 29
26
Lucas Erceg
4034.60
now 18
22
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0005.20
now 1
11
Lucas Erceg
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
4.2016.80
now 12
714
Lucas Erceg
4.2016.80
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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