MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

David Bednar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Bednar wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Emilio Pagán wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.0
Emilio Pagán
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.0%
Emilio Pagán
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
28.5%
Emilio Pagán
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
40.6%
Emilio Pagán
30.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
38.9%
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
4.2%
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.261
Emilio Pagán
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
2.577.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
Emilio Pagán
2.577.53
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
1.101.72
now 1.58
1.24
Emilio Pagán
1.101.72
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4039
now 29
31
Emilio Pagán
4039
now 11
24
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0005.20
now 1
11
Emilio Pagán
.0005.20
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
1.6021.40
now 12
917
Emilio Pagán
1.6021.40
now 6
712
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
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