MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Pete Fairbanks
Pete Fairbanks
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Bednar wins 2 (ERA, SV); Pete Fairbanks wins 2 (K, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.0
Pete Fairbanks
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.2%
Pete Fairbanks
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
27.5%
Pete Fairbanks
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.6%
Pete Fairbanks
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
36.7%
Pete Fairbanks
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
3.7%
Pete Fairbanks
13.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.257
Pete Fairbanks
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
2.318.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.66
Pete Fairbanks
2.318.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.04
3.70
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
1.101.72
now 1.58
1.24
Pete Fairbanks
1.101.72
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4034.60
now 29
26
Pete Fairbanks
4034.60
now 22
27
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.2003.80
now 1
11
Pete Fairbanks
.2003.80
now 2
23
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
1.8016.20
now 12
713
Pete Fairbanks
1.8016.20
now 6
59
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePete Fairbanks — hold.conf 0.55
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