MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Pete Fairbanks
Pete Fairbanks
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pete Fairbanks.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pete Fairbanks wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Louis Varland wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Louis Varland
98.5
Pete Fairbanks
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
15.2%
Pete Fairbanks
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
35.2%
Pete Fairbanks
29.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Louis Varland
35.8%
Pete Fairbanks
34.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
35.7%
Pete Fairbanks
44.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
2.7%
Pete Fairbanks
13.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Louis Varland
.221
Pete Fairbanks
.345
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Louis Varland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
3.53
Pete Fairbanks
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.04
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Louis Varland
.9201.41
now 1.03
1.22
Pete Fairbanks
.9201.41
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Louis Varland
4050
now 42
25
Pete Fairbanks
4050
now 22
26
Winshigher is better
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
12
Pete Fairbanks
.2003.80
now 2
23
Saveshigher is better
Louis Varland
211
now 8
47
Pete Fairbanks
211
now 6
59
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLouis Varland — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePete Fairbanks — hold.conf 0.55
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