MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); David Bednar wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.1
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.4%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
28.2%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.5%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
37.8%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
4.2%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.260
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
26.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
Louis Varland
26.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
.9001.80
now 1.58
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.80
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4050.40
now 29
21
Louis Varland
4050.40
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0002.80
now 1
01
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
.00015.60
now 12
611
Louis Varland
.00015.60
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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