MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

David Bednar wins 2 (ERA, SV); Devin Williams wins 2 (K, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Bednar
96.0
Devin Williams
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
16.2%
Devin Williams
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Bednar
27.5%
Devin Williams
28.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Bednar
39.6%
Devin Williams
38.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
36.7%
Devin Williams
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Bednar
3.7%
Devin Williams
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Bednar
.257
Devin Williams
.288
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Bednar
2.966.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.66
Devin Williams
2.966.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
David Bednar
1.101.72
now 1.58
1.24
Devin Williams
1.101.72
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Bednar
4039.60
now 29
25
Devin Williams
4039.60
now 31
34
Winshigher is better
David Bednar
.0005.20
now 1
11
Devin Williams
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
David Bednar
1.8016.20
now 12
713
Devin Williams
1.8016.20
now 8
510
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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