MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Emilio Pagán wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
94.5
Louis Varland
98.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
13.0%
Louis Varland
15.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
18.6%
Louis Varland
35.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
30.8%
Louis Varland
35.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Louis Varland
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
Louis Varland
2.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
.349
Louis Varland
.220
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Emilio Pagán
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
Louis Varland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
3.53
WHIPlower is better
Emilio Pagán
.9001.59
now 1.43
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.59
now 1.03
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
4054.40
now 11
24
Louis Varland
4054.40
now 42
32
Winshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
.0005.20
now 2
24
Louis Varland
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
2.2014.80
now 6
712
Louis Varland
2.2014.80
now 8
59
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLouis Varland — hold.conf 0.50
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