MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Gregory Soto
Gregory Soto
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Emilio Pagán wins 2 (WHIP, SV); Gregory Soto wins 2 (K, ERA); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
94.9
Gregory Soto
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
13.9%
Gregory Soto
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
24.3%
Gregory Soto
27.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
30.7%
Gregory Soto
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
45.5%
Gregory Soto
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
9.9%
Gregory Soto
4.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
.291
Gregory Soto
.263
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Emilio Pagán
28.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
Gregory Soto
28.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.95
2.85
WHIPlower is better
Emilio Pagán
.9001.70
now 1.43
1.24
Gregory Soto
.9001.70
now 0.76
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
4043.20
now 11
4
Gregory Soto
4043.20
now 32
5
Winshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
.0005.60
now 2
01
Gregory Soto
.0005.60
now 4
01
Saveshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
.0009.40
now 6
12
Gregory Soto
.0009.40
now 7
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
BuyGregory Soto — buy.conf 0.92
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