Rest of Season Projection
GregoryCategoryJeff
45K →63
3.60ERA ←3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
4–9W5–10
8–15SV ←6–11
Current Season
GregoryCategoryJeff
32K →45
1.95ERA ←6.31
0.76WHIP ←1.75
4W4
7SV ←5
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gregory Soto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.32 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeff Hoffman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.516 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gregory Soto: 45 K / 3.60 ERA. Jeff Hoffman: 63 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).