MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Gregory Soto
Gregory Soto
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Ashby.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Gregory Soto’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Gregory Soto wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Gregory Soto
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
13.0%
Gregory Soto
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.9%
Gregory Soto
27.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.5%
Gregory Soto
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.7%
Gregory Soto
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
5.0%
Gregory Soto
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.274
Gregory Soto
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.09
Gregory Soto
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.95
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
.9001.54
now 1.28
1.32
Gregory Soto
.9001.54
now 0.76
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4062.20
now 51
34
Gregory Soto
4062.20
now 32
23
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00011.80
now 9
39
Gregory Soto
.00011.80
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.0009.80
now 0
0
Gregory Soto
.0009.80
now 7
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeGregory Soto — hold.conf 0.50
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