MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Pete Fairbanks
Pete Fairbanks
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Emilio Pagán wins 1 (SV); Pete Fairbanks wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
94.5
Pete Fairbanks
97.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
13.0%
Pete Fairbanks
13.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
18.6%
Pete Fairbanks
28.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Emilio Pagán
30.8%
Pete Fairbanks
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Pete Fairbanks
43.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
Pete Fairbanks
13.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Emilio Pagán
.349
Pete Fairbanks
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Emilio Pagán
2.368.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
Pete Fairbanks
2.368.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.04
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Emilio Pagán
1.161.51
now 1.43
1.24
Pete Fairbanks
1.161.51
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
4041.80
now 11
24
Pete Fairbanks
4041.80
now 22
33
Winshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
1.204.80
now 2
24
Pete Fairbanks
1.204.80
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Emilio Pagán
3.6014.40
now 6
712
Pete Fairbanks
3.6014.40
now 6
611
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePete Fairbanks — hold.conf 0.55
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