MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Ashby.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Emilio Pagán wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Emilio Pagán
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
12.7%
Emilio Pagán
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.6%
Emilio Pagán
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
29.8%
Emilio Pagán
30.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.5%
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.7%
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.274
Emilio Pagán
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
28.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.07
Emilio Pagán
28.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
1.161.51
now 1.28
1.33
Emilio Pagán
1.161.51
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4067
now 51
42
Emilio Pagán
4067
now 11
24
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00014.60
now 9
411
Emilio Pagán
.00014.60
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00016.80
now 0
0
Emilio Pagán
.00016.80
now 6
712
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Ashby — buy.conf 0.91
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
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