Who's more valuable, rest of season
Aaron Ashby.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Louis Varland’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV
▶
Aaron Ashby wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Louis Varland wins 2 (WHIP, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Louis Varland
98.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
13.0%
Louis Varland
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.9%
Louis Varland
35.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.5%
Louis Varland
35.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.7%
Louis Varland
35.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
5.0%
Louis Varland
2.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.274
Louis Varland
.221
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.09
Louis Varland
24.83
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
3.53
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
.9101.44
now 1.28
1.32
Louis Varland
.9101.44
now 1.03
1.22
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4061
now 51
34
Louis Varland
4061
now 42
26
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.20
now 9
3–9
Louis Varland
.00012.20
now 2
1–2
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
4–8
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeLouis Varland — hold.conf 0.50