Rest of Season Projection
GregoryCategoryLouis
45K →54
3.60ERA →3.51
1.24WHIP →1.23
4–9W ←2–4
8–15SV →9–16
Current Season
GregoryCategoryLouis
32K →42
1.95ERA →0.29
0.76WHIP ←1.03
4W ←2
7SV →8
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gregory Soto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.32 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Louis Varland
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (1.81)
Gregory Soto: 45 K / 3.60 ERA. Louis Varland: 54 K / 3.51 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).