MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Megill
Trevor Megill
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Louis Varland wins 1 (ERA); Trevor Megill wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Louis Varland
98.8
Trevor Megill
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
15.3%
Trevor Megill
16.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
31.6%
Trevor Megill
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Louis Varland
36.6%
Trevor Megill
38.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
36.9%
Trevor Megill
42.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
3.7%
Trevor Megill
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Louis Varland
.239
Trevor Megill
.252
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Louis Varland
25.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.37
Trevor Megill
25.89
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.29
2.64
WHIPlower is better
Louis Varland
.9601.22
now 1.03
1.15
Trevor Megill
.9601.22
now 1.05
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Louis Varland
4058.80
now 42
0
Trevor Megill
4058.80
now 27
0
Winshigher is better
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Trevor Megill
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTrevor Megill — buy.conf 0.92
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