MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aroldis Chapman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aroldis Chapman wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Lucas Erceg wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Lucas Erceg
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Lucas Erceg
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
30.6%
Lucas Erceg
15.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
35.0%
Lucas Erceg
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.4%
Lucas Erceg
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
8.2%
Lucas Erceg
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.256
Lucas Erceg
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
Lucas Erceg
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9002.34
now 0.86
1.24
Lucas Erceg
.9002.34
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4036.60
now 25
31
Lucas Erceg
4036.60
now 18
22
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0005.60
now 0
00
Lucas Erceg
.0005.60
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
321
now 12
917
Lucas Erceg
321
now 11
713
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
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