Who's more valuable, rest of season
Adrian Morejon.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Aroldis Chapman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Adrian Morejon wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Aroldis Chapman wins 2 (K, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
99.2
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
17.8%
Aroldis Chapman
14.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
27.6%
Aroldis Chapman
29.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
37.5%
Aroldis Chapman
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
32.4%
Aroldis Chapman
38.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
2.1%
Aroldis Chapman
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
.249
Aroldis Chapman
.273
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Morejon
25.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.90
2.55
Aroldis Chapman
25.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Morejon
.9001.39
now 1.07
1.17
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.39
now 0.86
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
4040.60
now 35
23
Aroldis Chapman
4040.60
now 25
30
Winshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.0005.60
now 4
2–4
Aroldis Chapman
.0005.60
now 0
0–0
Saveshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.00021
now 1
0–1
Aroldis Chapman
.00021
now 12
8–15
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdrian Morejon — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50