MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Adrian Morejon
Adrian Morejon
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Riley O'Brien
Riley O'Brien
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Adrian Morejon.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Riley O'Brien’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Adrian Morejon wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Riley O'Brien wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
99.2
Riley O'Brien
98.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
17.6%
Riley O'Brien
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
28.4%
Riley O'Brien
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Adrian Morejon
36.8%
Riley O'Brien
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
31.1%
Riley O'Brien
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
2.3%
Riley O'Brien
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Adrian Morejon
.247
Riley O'Brien
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Adrian Morejon
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.90
2.49
Riley O'Brien
24.46
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Adrian Morejon
.9001.34
now 1.07
1.15
Riley O'Brien
.9001.34
now 0.99
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
4040.60
now 35
27
Riley O'Brien
4040.60
now 27
25
Winshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.8006.20
now 4
25
Riley O'Brien
.8006.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Adrian Morejon
.00023.40
now 1
11
Riley O'Brien
.00023.40
now 14
917
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAdrian Morejon — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeRiley O'Brien — hold.conf 0.50
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