Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryRiley
49K ←41
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP →1.23
1–2W →3–7
19–36SV ←16–30
Current Season
BryanCategoryRiley
29K ←27
2.22ERA ←3.20
1.07WHIP →0.99
1W →3
16SV ←14
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.83 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Riley O'Brien
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.79)
Bryan Baker: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Riley O'Brien: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).