MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Riley O'Brien
Riley O'Brien
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Riley O'Brien wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Riley O'Brien
98.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Riley O'Brien
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Riley O'Brien
23.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Riley O'Brien
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Riley O'Brien
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Riley O'Brien
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Riley O'Brien
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.154.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Riley O'Brien
2.154.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.34
now 1.08
1.23
Riley O'Brien
.9001.34
now 0.99
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4049.60
now 42
34
Riley O'Brien
4049.60
now 27
23
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Riley O'Brien
.0005.20
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
2.8026.20
now 20
1121
Riley O'Brien
2.8026.20
now 14
815
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRiley O'Brien — hold.conf 0.50
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