Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jeff Hoffman.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Aroldis Chapman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
▶
◀
SV
Jeff Hoffman wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (SV); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Jeff Hoffman
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.0%
Jeff Hoffman
18.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
29.6%
Jeff Hoffman
33.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
33.6%
Jeff Hoffman
37.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
37.8%
Jeff Hoffman
32.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
7.3%
Jeff Hoffman
8.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.270
Jeff Hoffman
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
3.70
Jeff Hoffman
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.31
3.37
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9002.11
now 0.86
1.24
Jeff Hoffman
.9002.11
now 1.75
1.21
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4053
now 25
28
Jeff Hoffman
4053
now 45
28
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0005.60
now 0
0–0
Jeff Hoffman
.0005.60
now 4
2–4
Saveshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.00018.80
now 12
8–14
Jeff Hoffman
.00018.80
now 5
2–5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAroldis Chapman — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJeff Hoffman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.88