MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of David Bednar
David Bednar
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Aaron Ashby.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); David Bednar wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
David Bednar
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
13.0%
David Bednar
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.9%
David Bednar
27.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.5%
David Bednar
39.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.7%
David Bednar
37.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
5.0%
David Bednar
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.274
David Bednar
.262
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
25.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.07
David Bednar
25.50
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
1.101.72
now 1.28
1.32
David Bednar
1.101.72
now 1.58
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4061
now 51
34
David Bednar
4061
now 29
26
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.20
now 9
39
David Bednar
.00012.20
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00019.60
now 0
0
David Bednar
.00019.60
now 12
714
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
Hold · wait & seeDavid Bednar — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet