MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Alex Hoppe
Alex Hoppe
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Alex Hoppe wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
98.4
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
12.0%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
24.5%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Hoppe
26.7%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
39.3%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
4.1%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Hoppe
.309
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Hoppe
2.626.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.84
3.70
Justin Sterner
2.626.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Alex Hoppe
.9401.71
now 1.54
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9401.71
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Hoppe
4036.40
now 12
0
Justin Sterner
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Alex Hoppe
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAlex Hoppe — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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