MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Alex McFarlane
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Jake Bird
Jake Bird
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Alex McFarlane wins 0 (none); Jake Bird wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex McFarlane
99.4
Jake Bird
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex McFarlane
13.1%
Jake Bird
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex McFarlane
25.3%
Jake Bird
23.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex McFarlane
31.7%
Jake Bird
23.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex McFarlane
40.4%
Jake Bird
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex McFarlane
7.7%
Jake Bird
8.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex McFarlane
.294
Jake Bird
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex McFarlane
27
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Jake Bird
27
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex McFarlane
.9001.46
now 1.00
1.24
Jake Bird
.9001.46
now 1.33
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex McFarlane
4028
now 0
0
Jake Bird
4028
now 20
0
Winshigher is better
Alex McFarlane
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Jake Bird
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAlex McFarlane — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.87
Buy LowJake Bird — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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