MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYY · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOS · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Amed Rosario.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Caleb Durbin’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Amed Rosario wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Caleb Durbin wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Amed Rosario
90.1
Caleb Durbin
85.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Amed Rosario
39.1%
Caleb Durbin
29.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Amed Rosario
11.3%
Caleb Durbin
2.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Amed Rosario
39.2%
Caleb Durbin
28.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Amed Rosario
14.6%
Caleb Durbin
7.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Amed Rosario
.313
Caleb Durbin
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Amed Rosario
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .261
.205
Caleb Durbin
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .183
.232

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Amed Rosario
58
now 6
3
Caleb Durbin
58
now 1
2
Runshigher is better
Amed Rosario
2022.20
now 13
19
Caleb Durbin
2022.20
now 15
14
RBIhigher is better
Amed Rosario
2034
now 20
30
Caleb Durbin
2034
now 22
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Amed Rosario
.0005.60
now 0
0
Caleb Durbin
.0005.60
now 4
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAmed Rosario — hold.conf 0.60
SellCaleb Durbin — sell.conf 0.60
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