Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMatt
70K ←67
4.50ERA →4.09
1.44WHIP →1.30
4–8W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMatt
42K ←22
4.02ERA ←8.49
1.44WHIP ←1.71
4W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.71 +0.61 vs league with no luck excuse
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Andrew Abbott: 71 K / 4.49 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).