Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMichael
81K ←71
4.61ERA ←5.12
1.46WHIP →1.31
4–9W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMichael
42K →44
4.02ERA →2.98
1.44WHIP →1.10
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.67 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Michael McGreevy: 71 K / 5.12 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).