Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryDidier
55K ←45
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →4–11
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryDidier
17K →27
4.02ERA →2.78
1.28WHIP →1.10
1W →4
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Alvarez
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.76)
Didier Fuentes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.99 is 0.36 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Alvarez: 55 K / 3.70 ERA. Didier Fuentes: 45 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).