MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Luis Medina
Luis Medina
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Luis Medina’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Luis Medina wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Luis Medina
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Luis Medina
13.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Luis Medina
27.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Luis Medina
24.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Luis Medina
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Luis Medina
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Luis Medina
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.404.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Luis Medina
2.404.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.88
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.131.43
now 1.28
1.36
Luis Medina
1.131.43
now 1.20
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.40
now 17
38
Luis Medina
4046.40
now 27
24
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
13
Luis Medina
.2003.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Luis Medina
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeLuis Medina — hold.conf 0.50
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