Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBrock
38K →46
3.69ERA ←3.76
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–3W1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBrock
20K →27
4.18ERA →3.62
1.52WHIP →1.39
1W1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.66 is 1.17 above the ERA — regression coming
Morris projects a 3.69 ERA / 38 K against Burke's 3.76 ERA / 46 K, a near tie in ratios but Burke leads strikeouts. Morris is a buy-low; Burke a sell-high: the underlying data diverge.