Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryCionel
38K ←26
3.69ERA3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryCionel
20K ←10
4.18ERA ←5.82
1.52WHIP ←1.59
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.355 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.36 is 2.68 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Morris outpaces Pérez 38 K to 26 K. Their ERA (3.69 vs 3.70) and WHIP (1.25 vs 1.24) are essentially identical. Buy Morris; sell Pérez.
