Rest of Season Projection
BrooksCategoryCionel
45K ←26
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–6
0SV0
Current Season
BrooksCategoryCionel
26K ←10
1.61ERA ←5.82
1.25WHIP ←1.59
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brooks Raley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.74)
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.36 is 2.68 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brooks Raley: 45 K / 3.70 ERA. Cionel Pérez: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).