Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJason
33K ←26
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJason
20K ←11
4.18ERA →0.90
1.52WHIP →1.00
1W →2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 sits 0.58 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.407 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.82 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 34 K / 3.69 ERA. Jason Adam: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).