MLB Daily DeltaWeek 28 · October 3, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Nardi
Andrew Nardi
MIA · P
Change to
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Devin Williams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Andrew Nardi’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Devin Williams wins 1 categories (ERA); Andrew Nardi wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
94.6
Devin Williams
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
14.6%
Devin Williams
17.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
27.3%
Devin Williams
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
29.5%
Devin Williams
38.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
45.0%
Devin Williams
29.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
13.3%
Devin Williams
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
.348
Devin Williams
.278
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Nardi
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.16
3.74
Devin Williams
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Nardi
1.121.67
now 1.41
1.24
Devin Williams
1.121.67
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
4043.40
now 27
0
Devin Williams
4043.40
now 31
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Devin Williams
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Nardi — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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