MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Nardi
Andrew Nardi
MIA · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Morillo
Juan Morillo
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Nardi.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Juan Morillo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Nardi wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Juan Morillo wins 1 (ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
94.6
Juan Morillo
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
14.6%
Juan Morillo
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
27.3%
Juan Morillo
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
29.5%
Juan Morillo
35.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
45.0%
Juan Morillo
31.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
13.3%
Juan Morillo
3.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
.348
Juan Morillo
.245
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Nardi
26.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.16
3.74
Juan Morillo
26.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
2.48
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Nardi
.9501.54
now 1.41
1.24
Juan Morillo
.9501.54
now 1.08
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
4040
now 27
6
Juan Morillo
4040
now 30
5
Winshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
.0004.20
now 3
01
Juan Morillo
.0004.20
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Nardi — hold.conf 0.50
BuyJuan Morillo — buy.conf 0.92
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